Match stats

Logo Villarreal Logo Real Madrid
46 Ball possession (%) 54
23 Goal attempts 9
10 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked shots 2

Villarreal vs Real Madrid: betting odds 15 Mar 2025

The Matchday 28 La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid will take place on March 15 at the Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Villarreal

In the previous round, the Valencian side suffered a disappointing 0-1 away defeat to Alaves. Despite playing with a numerical advantage for the last 30 minutes and having two extra players after the 90th minute, they failed to capitalize on the dismissals in the Basque team. As a result, Villarreal's six-match unbeaten run in the league (4 wins and 2 draws) came to an end. Marcelino Garcia's men remain in fifth place, trailing the top four by five points, with a game in hand.


  • No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Villarreal's last 12 La Liga matches.
  • The team has not conceded more than one goal in their last eight league games.
  • Villarreal has kept a clean sheet in the first half of their last seven La Liga matches.

Predicted lineup for Villarreal (4-4-2)

Diego Conde – Sergi Cardona, Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Juan Foyth – Yeremy Pino, Daniel Parejo, Alex Baena, Pape Gueye – Ayoze Perez, Nicolas Pepe.

Real Madrid

The capital club secured a 2-1 home victory over Rayo Vallecano in the last round. Notably, Carlo Ancelotti rested several key players in this match. This was only their second win in the last six league games (2 draws and 2 losses). Real moved up to second place, overtaking city rivals Atletico and catching up with Barcelona on points. However, the Catalans have a significantly better goal difference and a game in hand.


  • Exactly two or three goals have been scored in five of Real Madrid's last La Liga matches.
  • The team has not scored more than two goals in their last six league encounters.
  • In eight of Real's last league games, one of the teams won the second half with a clean sheet.

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)

Andriy Lunin – David Alaba, Raul Asencio, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham – Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.


Defenders Jesus Vallejo, Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal, and midfielder Dani Ceballos are out due to injuries.

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)


Matches – 13 (La Liga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 87;

Average yellow cards per match – 6.7;

Red cards shown – 6;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 31%.

Villarreal vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction

I predict that Villarreal will be able to take points from one of the league leaders in the upcoming match. Villarreal is in good form, aiming to catch up with Athletic and displace the Basques from fourth place in the standings. The team performs well at home this season, having lost only once in their last nine home matches (4 wins and 4 draws).


Real Madrid is currently not impressive in La Liga, frequently dropping points. Additionally, this season, Madrid concedes 1.11 goals per game, the worst rate in the last six years. Notably, in the last seven meetings at the Estadio de la Cerámica, Real has not won (6 draws and 1 loss). It's also important to mention that Carlo Ancelotti's team will be coming off a tough Champions League match against Atletico.


My prediction – Villarreal win or draw


* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.

Betting tips 15 Mar 2025

Villarreal are sitting fifth in La Liga, just five points off the Champions League spots. Their home form has been solid, losing just once in their last nine matches at the Estadio de la Cerámica. Meanwhile, Real Madrid remain in the title race, but after a gruelling 120-minute Champions League clash with Atlético Madrid, fatigue could play a factor. Real Madrid haven’t won in their last seven visits to Villarreal.

Last week’s shock 0:1 defeat to Alavés, despite playing the final 30 minutes with a man advantage, ended their six-match unbeaten run. However, their home attack has been prolific, scoring in each of their last 12 home matches. Ayoze Pérez has been particularly impressive, sitting sixth in the La Liga scoring charts with 11 goals. The defensive side, however, remains shaky—their two goalkeepers have combined for just three clean sheets across 26 games.

Real Madrid have only two wins in their last six league matches, with defensive lapses becoming a concern—they have conceded in five of those games, including against Espanyol (0:1), a side battling relegation. However, their attack remains one of the best in Spain, with 57 goals scored (second only to Barcelona). Kylian Mbappé has been in top form, netting eight times since the turn of the year, pushing him to second in the La Liga Golden Boot race (18 goals).

Real Madrid will likely arrive in a fatigued state after their Champions League war with Atlético Madrid, and their poor record at Villarreal raises concerns. Both teams have strong attacking options and a tendency to concede, with “Both Teams to Score” landing in their last eight head-to-head meetings. Expect another high-scoring battle.

Betting prediction
Both Teams to Score – Yes
Cf
Odds
9/20
Bet now

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Odds

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Villarreal
08.03.25
Alavés
Villarreal
L
22.02.25
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
W
15.02.25
Villarreal
Valencia
D
08.02.25
Las Palmas
Villarreal
W
01.02.25
Villarreal
Valladolid
W
25.01.25
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
D
20.01.25
Villarreal
Mallorca
W
13.01.25
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
L
22.12.24
Leganés
Villarreal
W
18.12.24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
D
15.12.24
Villarreal
Real Betis
L
08.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Villarreal
L
01.12.24
Villarreal
Girona
D
24.11.24
Osasuna
Villarreal
D
09.11.24
Villarreal
Alavés
W
26.10.24
Valladolid
Villarreal
W
20.10.24
Villarreal
Getafe
D
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
L
30.09.24
Villarreal
Las Palmas
W
26.09.24
Espanyol
Villarreal
W
22.09.24
Villarreal
Barcelona
L
14.09.24
Mallorca
Villarreal
W
31.08.24
Valencia
Villarreal
D
26.08.24
Villarreal
Celta
W
23.08.24
Sevilla
Villarreal
W
19.08.24
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
D
More matches
Real Madrid
09.03.25
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
W
01.03.25
Real Betis
Real Madrid
L
23.02.25
Real Madrid
Girona
W
15.02.25
Osasuna
Real Madrid
D
08.02.25
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
D
01.02.25
Espanyol
Real Madrid
L
25.01.25
Valladolid
Real Madrid
W
19.01.25
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
W
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
W
22.12.24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
W
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
D
07.12.24
Girona
Real Madrid
W
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
L
01.12.24
Real Madrid
Getafe
W
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
W
09.11.24
Real Madrid
Osasuna
W
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
L
19.10.24
Celta
Real Madrid
W
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
W
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
24.09.24
Real Madrid
Alavés
W
21.09.24
Real Madrid
Espanyol
W
14.09.24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
01.09.24
Real Madrid
Real Betis
W
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
W
18.08.24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
D
More matches

H2H: Villarreal — Real Madrid

La Liga 2024-2025
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
La Liga 2023-2024
19.05.24
Villarreal
Real Madrid
17.12.23
Real Madrid
Villarreal
La Liga 2022-2023
08.04.23
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Copa del Rey 2022-2023
19.01.23
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
07.01.23
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2021-2022
12.02.22
Villarreal
Real Madrid
25.09.21
Real Madrid
Villarreal
La Liga 2020-2021
22.05.21
Real Madrid
Villarreal
21.11.20
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2019-2020
16.07.20
Real Madrid
Villarreal
01.09.19
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2018-2019
05.05.19
Real Madrid
Villarreal
03.01.19
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2017-2018
19.05.18
Villarreal
Real Madrid
13.01.18
Real Madrid
Villarreal
La Liga 2016-2017
26.02.17
Villarreal
Real Madrid
21.09.16
Real Madrid
Villarreal
La Liga 2015-2016
20.04.16
Real Madrid
Villarreal
13.12.15
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2014-2015
01.03.15
Real Madrid
Villarreal
27.09.14
Villarreal
Real Madrid
La Liga 2013-2014
07.02.14
Real Madrid
Villarreal
4
:
2
13.09.13
Villarreal
Real Madrid
2
:
2
La Liga 2011-2012
20.03.12
Villarreal
Real Madrid
1
:
1
25.10.11
Real Madrid
Villarreal
3
:
0
La Liga 2010-2011
14.05.11
Villarreal
Real Madrid
1
:
3
08.01.11
Real Madrid
Villarreal
4
:
2
La Liga 2009-2010
20.02.10
Real Madrid
Villarreal
6
:
2
22.09.09
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
:
2
La Liga 2008-2009
15.05.09
Villarreal
Real Madrid
3
:
2
03.01.09
Real Madrid
Villarreal
1
:
0
La Liga 2007-2008
26.01.08
Real Madrid
Villarreal
3
:
2
01.09.07
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
:
5
La Liga 2006-2007
26.01.07
Villarreal
Real Madrid
1
:
0
26.08.06
Real Madrid
Villarreal
0
:
0
La Liga 2005-2006
06.05.06
Real Madrid
Villarreal
3
:
3
07.01.06
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
:
0
La Liga 2004-2005
22.04.05
Real Madrid
Villarreal
2
:
1
04.12.04
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
:
0
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
28 20 3 5 78:27 63
2
Real Madrid
28 18 6 4 59:27 60
3
Atlético Madrid
28 16 8 4 46:22 56
4
Athletic Bilbao
28 14 10 4 46:24 52
5
Villarreal
27 12 8 7 49:38 44
6
Real Betis
28 12 8 8 38:35 44
7
Mallorca
28 11 7 10 28:34 40
8
Celta
28 11 6 11 41:41 39
9
Rayo Vallecano
28 9 10 9 31:31 37
10
Sevilla
28 9 9 10 32:37 36
11
Getafe
28 9 9 10 25:23 36
12
Real Sociedad
28 10 5 13 25:30 35
13
Girona
28 9 7 12 36:41 34
14
Osasuna
28 7 12 9 33:42 33
15
Espanyol
27 7 7 13 26:39 28
16
Valencia
28 6 10 12 31:46 28
17
Alavés
28 6 9 13 32:42 27
18
Leganés
28 6 9 13 26:43 27
19
Las Palmas
28 6 7 15 32:47 25
20
Valladolid
28 4 4 20 18:63 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Madrid
13 11 1 1 33:12 34
2
Atlético Madrid
15 10 4 1 27:12 34
3
Barcelona
13 10 0 3 36:9 30
4
Athletic Bilbao
14 8 5 1 27:9 29
5
Celta
14 9 2 3 24:14 29
6
Real Betis
14 7 5 2 22:15 26
7
Osasuna
15 6 6 3 26:22 24
8
Espanyol
14 6 5 3 18:15 23
9
Mallorca
15 6 5 4 16:16 23
10
Girona
14 6 3 5 25:21 21
11
Valencia
14 6 3 5 20:18 21
12
Villarreal
13 5 5 3 29:21 20
13
Rayo Vallecano
14 5 5 4 20:19 20
14
Real Sociedad
14 6 2 6 15:14 20
15
Getafe
14 4 7 3 12:9 19
16
Sevilla
14 5 4 5 12:16 19
17
Leganés
14 5 2 7 15:22 17
18
Alavés
13 4 4 5 11:13 16
19
Las Palmas
14 3 5 6 17:21 14
20
Valladolid
14 3 4 7 8:21 13
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
15 10 3 2 42:18 33
2
Real Madrid
15 7 5 3 26:15 26
3
Villarreal
14 7 3 4 20:17 24
4
Athletic Bilbao
14 6 5 3 19:15 23
5
Atlético Madrid
13 6 4 3 19:10 22
6
Real Betis
14 5 3 6 16:20 18
7
Sevilla
14 4 5 5 20:21 17
8
Getafe
14 5 2 7 13:14 17
9
Rayo Vallecano
14 4 5 5 11:12 17
10
Mallorca
13 5 2 6 12:18 17
11
Real Sociedad
14 4 3 7 10:16 15
12
Girona
14 3 4 7 11:20 13
13
Alavés
15 2 5 8 21:29 11
14
Las Palmas
14 3 2 9 15:26 11
15
Celta
14 2 4 8 17:27 10
16
Leganés
14 1 7 6 11:21 10
17
Osasuna
13 1 6 6 7:20 9
18
Valencia
14 0 7 7 11:28 7
19
Espanyol
13 1 2 10 8:24 5
20
Valladolid
14 1 0 13 10:42 3

Team lineups

Villarreal

Marcelino
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Diego José Conde Alcolado
gk. 21 -31
Sergi Cardona
df. 26 1
Logan Evans Costa
df. 21 2
Juan Foyth
df. 10 1
Willy Kambwala Ndengushi
df. 10 0
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
mf. 25 6
Pape Alassane Gueye
mf. 25 2
Santi Comesaña
mf. 25 3
Tajon Trevor Buchanan
mf. 5 0
Ayoze Pérez
fw. 20 11
Nicolas Pépé
fw. 19 1
Substitutes
Luíz Lúcio Reis Júnior
gk. 7 -7
Raúl Albiol
df. 15 0
Eric Bailly
df. 10 0
Pau Navarro Badenes
df. 10 0
Alfonso Pedraza Sag
df. 3 0
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
mf. 25 3
Yeremy Jesús Pino Santos
mf. 24 1
Denis Suárez
mf. 15 1
Thierno Mamadou Barry
fw. 26 8
Real Madrid

C. Ancelotti
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Thibaut Сourtois
gk. 24 -22
Lucas Vázquez
df. 23 1
Fran García
df. 22 0
Asencio
df. 15 0
Federico Valverde
mf. 26 5
Aurelien Tchouameni
mf. 23 0
Brahim Díaz
mf. 23 4
Jude Victor William Bellingham
mf. 22 7
Eduardo Camavinga
mf. 14 0
Kylian Mbappé
fw. 26 20
Rodrygo Goes
fw. 25 6
Substitutes
Andriy Lunin
gk. 4 -5
Francisco Javier González Pérez
gk. 0 0
Antonio Rüdiger
df. 25 0
David Alaba
df. 5 0
Diego Aguado Facio
df. 0 0
Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera
df. 0 0
Luka Modrić
mf. 27 2
Arda Güler
mf. 18 1
Vinisius Junior
fw. 22 10
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
fw. 16 1
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